Football is Mathematics
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Werder Bremen welcome Hoffenheim to the Weserstadion with both sides lifted by eye-catching wins. Bremen's unbeaten run and Niclas Füllkrug's goals give them momentum, while Hoffenheim arrive fresh from a 3-0 statement victory over Bayer Leverkusen.
The most recent clash between these two sides unfolded in Sinsheim in May 2026, where Hoffenheim edged out Werder Bremen 1-0. Bazoumana Touré grabbed the game's only goal in the 26th minute, with Bremen forced to play almost the whole match with ten men after Yukinari Sugawara's early red card.
Hoffenheim controlled long spells, finishing with 72% possession and 15 shots to Bremen's 11. Werder showed resilience by keeping the deficit to a single goal, but ultimately could not break through.
Werder Bremen are riding an impressive spell, undefeated in their last six matches across all competitions. Their 3-2 win at Mainz was built on two Füllkrug penalties and a Ludovit Reis goal, extending a strong start that has them in the European places after seven league games.
Hoffenheim, meanwhile, remain dangerous but difficult to read. Christian Ilzer's side lost to Hamburg and Besiktas earlier in October, but they have responded with three straight wins in all competitions, beating Borussia Mönchengladbach, Lyon and Leverkusen. The 3-0 defeat of Leverkusen was especially notable, with Andrej Kramarić coming off the bench to score and influence all three late goals.
Werder Bremen have been especially resilient, repeatedly finding answers even when games have become stretched. At home, Daniel Thioune's side have carried greater attacking threat this season, and the return of Füllkrug has given them a clear focal point.
For Hoffenheim, inconsistency has defined recent away games, but their attacking ceiling remains high. They have scored freely in spells and arrive with renewed confidence, though Prass's suspension removes a left-sided option after he scored and was sent off against Leverkusen.
Werder Bremen's steady build-up play and improvement on home turf contrast with a prior season marked by inconsistency. Their current sequence marks a positive turnaround, and Füllkrug's return on loan from West Ham has immediately sharpened the attack. His brace at Mainz underlined why he is likely to remain the central figure in Thioune's 4-2-3-1.
Hoffenheim can point to a statement 3-0 win over Bayer Leverkusen most recently, underlining their capacity for clinical transitions and late flourishes. Kramarić's impact was decisive, while Max Moerstedt also struck in stoppage time. That came after a 3-0 Europa League win over Lyon, so Hoffenheim's confidence should be high despite ongoing defensive adjustments.
Werder Bremen remain without several players, with Keke Topp, Jens Stage, Justin Njinmah, Moussa Ndiaye, Salim Musah, Felix Agu, Skelly Alvero and Niklas Stark all listed among the current absentees. Senne Lynen is a doubt, but Karl Hein has started regularly and should continue in goal.
Werder Bremen probable XI: Karl Hein; Arthur, Amos Pieper, Marco Friedl, Olivier Deman; Ludovit Reis, Youri Regeer; Mitchell Weiser, Chuki, Marco Grüll; Niclas Füllkrug.
Mitchell Weiser started the win at Mainz after impressing from the bench, so he has a strong case to keep his place ahead of Eren Dinkçi. Füllkrug is the clear attacking reference point after scoring twice last time out.
Hoffenheim are without Patrick Wimmer, Albian Hajdari, Nathan De Cat and Alexander Prass, with Prass serving a one-match Bundesliga ban after his second yellow card against Leverkusen. Bambasé Conté and Adam Daghim have both carried recent doubts, but Daghim started against Leverkusen.
Hoffenheim probable XI: Oliver Baumann; Vladimír Coufal, Ozan Kabak, Kōki Machida, Mats Rots; Leon Avdullahu, Wouter Burger; Adam Daghim, Andrej Kramarić, Fisnik Asllani; Adam Hložek.
Kramarić's match-changing display against Leverkusen makes him difficult to leave out, while Machida and Rots should continue in a reshaped back line with Hajdari unavailable.
The algorithm gives Werder Bremen a 43% chance to secure victory, with a projected scoreline of 2-1 to Werder Bremen. Bremen's unbeaten streak, home efficiency and Füllkrug's scoring threat offer them an edge. Hoffenheim's potent offense and recent surge add intrigue, but Prass's suspension and their uneven away profile could tilt the balance towards the home side.
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| 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
| 28 | 29 | 30 |
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| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
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| 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
| 30 |
| OVERALL TABLE | |||||||
| OVERALL TABLE | PTS | GP | W | D | L | +/- | |
1 |
Bayern Munich | 17 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19 |
2 |
Borussia Dortmund | 17 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
3 |
Freiburg | 13 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
4 |
Bayer Leverkusen | 13 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
5 |
RB Leipzig | 12 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
6 |
Werder Bremen | 12 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
7 |
Mainz | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
8 |
SV Elversberg | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 |
9 |
Augsburg | 9 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
10 |
Hoffenheim | 9 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
11 |
Hamburger SV | 9 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -10 |
12 |
Köln | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 |
13 |
Paderborn | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 |
14 |
Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7 |
15 |
Stuttgart | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -3 |
16 |
Schalke 04 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 |
17 |
Union Berlin | 6 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -12 |
18 |
Borussia M'gladbach | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -11 |
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Leoben have lost their last 19 league games
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In 14 of their most recent matches in Junioren Bundesliga, Babelsberg U19 have seen over 2.5 goals scored
Hapoel Acre haven't scored a single goal in all of their last 11 Liga Leumit games
Newroz SC (IRQ) have kept a clean sheet in their last 9 Stars League games
Tartu JK Welco have achieved a 6 game half time/full time winning streak in Esiliiga
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