Augsburg Seeking Stability as Freiburg Look to Halt Slide at WWK Arena

Augsburg vs Freiburg - 10/31/2026

10/26/2026 269

As Augsburg prepare to host Freiburg at the WWK Arena on October 31, both teams find themselves at key junctures early in the Bundesliga campaign. Augsburg, resilient at home but still searching for consistency, face a Freiburg side eager to rebound after a difficult week.

Key Points

• Augsburg have drawn three consecutive Bundesliga home matches, including the latest 1-1 against Union Berlin.
• Freiburg have lost three straight games in all competitions, conceding eight goals across that run.
• Juma Bah is suspended for Augsburg after his straight red card against Union, while Steve Mounié and Noahkai Banks remain sidelined.
• The locked prediction is a 37% draw likelihood, with a projected 2-2 scoreline.

Recent History

These two clubs came head-to-head back in January this year, producing a 2-2 draw that typified their competitive balance. That match featured four goals in just 15 frenetic second-half minutes: Augsburg’s Elvis Rexhbecaj and Alexis Claude-Maurice each found the net, while Yuito Suzuki and Igor Matanovic were on target for Freiburg. The contest nearly mirrored itself in the statistics, with Augsburg edging total shots 13 to 12 and both teams managing five on target.

Draws have become something of a theme in this matchup, with 50% of their last six meetings at the WWK Arena ending level. Augsburg have also drawn three consecutive home league matches, underscoring both their resilience and their lack of killer instinct.

Recent Form

Form-wise, Manuel Baum’s Augsburg have mixed promise with volatility. They opened strongly with wins over Schalke and Eintracht Frankfurt, then drew with Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Munich before a 4-3 defeat at Elversberg and a 1-1 home draw against Union Berlin. Their attacking output remains encouraging, but clean defensive sequences have been hard to sustain.

Freiburg, on the other side, approach this clash with clear concerns after defeats to Bayer Leverkusen, Monaco and Bayern Munich. Julian Schuster’s side had started the Bundesliga campaign impressively, including a 5-0 rout of Borussia Mönchengladbach, but the recent drop-off has been sharp. The 3-1 loss to Bayern followed a 3-0 Conference League defeat in Monaco, adding workload and confidence questions before another away league assignment.

Team News and Probable Lineups

Augsburg are forced to adapt at the back. Juma Bah, the loan signing from Manchester City who had started their last three league matches, is suspended after his straight red card against Union. Steve Mounié and Noahkai Banks remain sidelined, while Alexis Claude-Maurice has only recently been partially reintegrated into team training. Calvin Brackelmann also needs monitoring after being forced off early against Union.

Augsburg are expected to continue in a 3-4-2-1. Probable XI: Finn Dahmen; Jeffrey Gouweleeuw, Chrislain Matsima, Calvin Brackelmann; Marius Wolf, Han-Noah Massengo, Hennes Behrens, Youngwoo Seol; Fabian Rieder, Arijon Ibrahimović; Michael Gregoritsch.

Bah’s absence should bring Jeffrey Gouweleeuw back into the starting defence, while Gregoritsch is the likeliest focal point after reclaiming his place against Union. Fabian Rieder’s delivery remains crucial, especially after his assist for Massengo’s header in the 1-1 draw.

Freiburg’s main fitness issue is in midfield, where Yannik Engelhardt missed the Bayern match with a bruised pelvis. Florent Muslija remains out with a knee problem. Mio Backhaus has quickly become the first-choice goalkeeper following Noah Atubolu’s loan move to Eintracht Frankfurt, while summer signing Yannik Engelhardt has been a major early-season presence when available.

Freiburg have primarily deployed a 4-2-3-1. Probable XI: Mio Backhaus; Philipp Treu, Matthias Ginter, Philipp Lienhart, Jordy Makengo; Maximilian Eggestein, Patrick Osterhage; Niklas Beste, Yuito Suzuki, Derry Scherhant; Igor Matanovic.

Lucas Höler started against Bayern, but Matanovic made a lively impact off the bench and has stronger recent scoring weight. Suzuki’s early-season hat-trick against Werder and continued central role make him Freiburg’s key link player, with Scherhant and Beste providing direct running from the attacking line.

Main Trends

Statistically, Augsburg show strong pressing intent by averaging 16.17 shots and a Bundesliga-best 5.67 on target per match over their last six, a trend matched closely by Freiburg’s 15.83 shots and 4.67 on target. Possession is where Freiburg differentiate themselves, controlling the ball at 52.67% in recent games compared with Augsburg’s 44.5%.

Set-pieces and transitions could be pivotal, especially with Augsburg’s high count of dangerous attacks at home. Yet both sides arrive with defensive concerns, and Freiburg must also manage a congested run including DFB-Pokal and Conference League commitments around this league trip.

Prediction

The algorithm simulation leans toward another draw at 37% likelihood, with a projected 2-2 scoreline repeating both their last head-to-head result and Augsburg’s recent home pattern. Augsburg’s defensive reshuffle and Freiburg’s dip in form suggest plenty of opportunities for goals yet little separation between the sides. The locked prediction is a 2-2 draw.

Home team
Away team

Probability %

1X2

Pred

Correct score

Avg. goals

Weather conditions

Coef.

Score

Live
coef.

De1

Augsburg Freiburg 31/10/2026 15:30

283735

X2-2

2 - 2

3.03

48°F

+280

+210 +280 +115 no no no

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