Bologna Seek Home Comforts Against Struggling Monza in Serie A Clash

Bologna vs Monza - 10/31/2026

10/30/2026 32

Bologna host Monza at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara in Serie A round 10, with Raffaele Palladino’s improving side chasing a first home league win of the campaign after a stunning midweek victory at San Siro.

Key Points

• Bologna have taken nine points from their last four league matches and arrive after a 4-2 win away to AC Milan.
• Monza have scored 16 Serie A goals but have conceded a league-high 22 in nine matches.
• Samuel Mbangula is pushing to start after a hat-trick against Milan, while Gustavo Varela has eight league goals for Monza.
• The locked prediction is Bologna to win, with a 46% home-win chance and a likely 3-1 result.

Recent Form

Bologna come into the contest with a measure of confidence rooted in both their recent results and their home record against Monza. In the last three home meetings between these teams, Bologna have won two and drawn one, remaining unbeaten during that stretch. This head-to-head advantage could serve as a psychological boost as they look to move up in the Serie A standings.

Raffaele Palladino's men are 11th after three wins, two draws and four defeats from nine matches, with 12 goals scored and 12 conceded. Their overall form has been inconsistent but there have been clear signs of improvement, particularly with wins at Cagliari and AC Milan in the past week. Bologna's 4-2 victory at San Siro was their standout result of the season, with Samuel Mbangula scoring a hat-trick in a ruthless counter-attacking display.

At home, however, Bologna's results have been less positive. They are still seeking their first home league win under Palladino and have conceded too freely at the Dall'Ara, even if the most recent home defeat came against champions Inter.

Monza, under Ivan Juric, have struggled to find consistency and currently sit 16th in the table. They have managed just two wins and one draw in nine matches, with six league defeats and a negative goal difference of -6. The away side have found the net 16 times, more than Bologna, but their defensive record is more concerning, having conceded 22 goals.

Recent form paints a challenging picture for Monza. They were beaten 4-1 by Napoli in midweek after losing 3-2 at Torino, and their away form continues to undermine their attacking promise. Monza have lost their last three away matches and conceded heavily on the road, a trend Juric must reverse quickly to avoid being dragged into the bottom three.

Despite this, Monza are capable of producing dangerous attacking football, as evidenced by a 4-0 home win over Cagliari and a 2-1 home victory against Sassuolo. Gustavo Varela has been their outstanding threat with eight Serie A goals, while Jay Robinson and Dany Mota give Juric mobility around the central striker.

Team News and Probable Lineups

Bologna remain without Emil Holm and Roberto Piccoli, while Lorenzo De Silvestri and Jay Enem are fitness concerns. Riccardo Orsolini has returned to group training, but a start would still be a surprise after his recent spell out. Mbangula's midweek hat-trick has put him in strong contention, although Nicolò Cambiaghi remains a close alternative in the front three.

Bologna’s likely formation remains a 3-4-3, with Palladino expected to lean on the defensive trio of Matteo Darmian, Nicolò Casale and Arthur Theate, while Lewis Ferguson and Tommaso Pobega anchor midfield. Probable lineup for Bologna:

Bologna

Goalkeeper: Lukasz Skorupski

Defenders: Matteo Darmian, Nicolò Casale, Arthur Theate

Midfielders: Nadir Zortea, Lewis Ferguson, Tommaso Pobega, Juan Miranda

Attackers: Federico Bernardeschi, Jens Odgaard, Samuel Mbangula

Monza continue to monitor Michael Folorunsho after he missed the Napoli match, while Matteo Pessina, Jan Ziolkowski and Yvan Maye are not expected to feature. Juric should return close to the XI that performed well against Cagliari and Torino, with Andrea Carboni likely to rejoin the back three.

Monza are expected to continue with their preferred 3-4-2-1 setup. Probable lineup for Monza:

Monza

Goalkeeper: Noel Törnqvist

Defenders: Saba Goglichidze, Lorenzo Lucchesi, Andrea Carboni

Midfielders: Samuele Birindelli, Manga Foe Ondoa, Ebenezer Akinsanmiro, Ricardo Mangas

Attackers: Dany Mota, Jay Robinson, Gustavo Varela

Prediction

The prediction algorithm leans toward a Bologna victory, with a 46% chance of a home win and a likely 3-1 result. Given Monza’s defensive issues away from home and Bologna’s historic advantage in this matchup, such an outcome is not without precedent, especially considering Monza have lost by two or more goals in 40% of their last ten league matches.

Overall, the trends weigh in Bologna’s favor. Monza carry enough attacking quality to threaten, but the locked prediction is Bologna to win 3-1, with Palladino’s side backed to build on their San Siro statement.

Home team
Away team

Probability %

1X2

Pred

Correct score

Avg. goals

Weather conditions

Coef.

Score

Live
coef.

It1

Bologna Monza 31/10/2026 15:00

463123

13-1

3 - 1

3.24

59°F

-152

-152 +280 +400 down no no

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