Calcio Como Seek to Maintain Strong Home Form Against Struggling Venezia

Calcio Como vs Venezia - 11/01/2026

10/30/2026 35

The Serie A encounter at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia sees high-flying Calcio Como ready to test their formidable home streak against a Venezia side desperate to halt another slide. Como's efficient attack will aim to break through Venezia's defensive woes in a match that looks lopsided on recent evidence.

Key Points

• Como are fourth after nine league games, with six wins, two draws and one defeat.
• Fabregas' side have won four straight in all competitions, including a 3-1 comeback victory at Torino.
• Venezia remain bottom after losing eight of their first nine Serie A matches.
• Nico Paz and Anastasios Douvikas are central to Como's attacking threat, while Akor Adams leads Venezia's survival push.
• The locked prediction is a Calcio Como win, estimated at 67%.

Recent History and Home Form

When Calcio Como and Venezia last faced off in March 2025, the match ended in a 1-1 draw where both sides created chances but ultimately shared the spoils. Como's possession-based approach yielded 56% control and 13 total shots, with Jonathan Ikoné opening the scoring in the 49th minute. Venezia, resilient throughout, managed 10 shots and equalised deep into stoppage time via a Christian Gytkjær penalty.

Since that draw, the trajectories of both teams have diverged. Como, now managed by Cesc Fàbregas, have turned the Sinigaglia into a fortress. Over the last 12 home matches in Serie A, they have gone undefeated in 10, kept 7 clean sheets, and have won 8 of their last 12 fixtures. Their average possession at home remains above 61%, indicative of an assertive game plan that often suffocates visitors.

The hosts come into this matchup in impressive form, sitting fourth in the standings with a record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 defeat from 9 games. Their goal difference of +9 is built on a disciplined defence and an attack averaging close to two goals per outing. In all competitions, Como have won 58% of their last 40 matches and have not tasted defeat in 80% of their last 30 overall.

Recent performances further highlight Como's strength. Their 2-0 win over Sassuolo featured an Anastasios Douvikas double, while the 3-1 victory at Torino was sealed by late goals from Jacobo Ramón, Nico Paz and Martin Baturina. Como have also beaten Manchester United 4-1 in Europe this month, with Paz scoring twice in one of the club's most eye-catching recent nights.

Venezia Context

Venezia, by contrast, arrive at this fixture mired in trouble. Davide Nicola has replaced Giovanni Stroppa and started with a shock 1-0 win over Napoli, but the league picture remains bleak. They've lost 8 of 9 league fixtures and are currently rooted to the bottom of Serie A. With 19 goals conceded and just 6 scored, the -13 goal difference reflects issues at both ends.

The away form is even more concerning. Venezia have been winless in 10 of their previous 12 away outings in all competitions. Since Nicola's arrival, the win over Napoli has been followed by a 1-0 defeat at Genoa and a 2-0 home loss to Inter, with two late own goals deciding the Inter match. Venezia have failed to score in their last two league games, which is a major concern before visiting one of the division's most controlled possession sides.

Team News and Probable Lineups

Como's attacking depth is being tested. Assane Diao, Jesús Rodríguez and Mattia Liberali remain sidelined, while Jayden Addai is a doubt after coming off at Torino. Moise Kean and Trevoh Chalobah are close to returns, but Douvikas and Jacobo Ramón are expected to keep their places after recent performances.

Calcio Como Probable XI: Robert Sánchez; Yan Couto, Jacobo Ramón, Marc Oliver Kempf, Álex Valle; Máximo Perrone, Luis Milla; Lucas Da Cunha, Nico Paz, Maxence Caqueret; Anastasios Douvikas.

Baturina's late goal at Torino keeps him firmly in the selection conversation, but Caqueret's recent start and Como's balance in the 4-2-3-1 make him a strong candidate from the left-sided attacking role.

Venezia are still without Marin Šverko, Bartol Franjić, Thierry Correia and Andrea Adorante. Nicola is set to continue with the 3-5-2 that has brought more structure, with Akor Adams leading the line after scoring the winner against Napoli.

Venezia Probable XI: Filip Stanković; Redouane Halhal, Matías Moreno, Juan Jesus; Antoine Hainaut, Kike Pérez, Simon Sohm, Gianluca Busio, Richie Sagrado; John Yeboah, Akor Adams.

Pasquale Mazzocchi, Ridgeciano Haps and Toma Bašić are all in the mix if Nicola opts for continuity from the Inter and Genoa matches, but the short turnaround and recent fitness concerns may encourage a fresher midfield and wing-back selection.

Prediction

The probability points strongly toward a home win for Calcio Como, estimated at 67%. Given their superior recent and historical form, combined with Venezia's struggles on the road and at both ends of the pitch, the hosts are well-placed to secure all three points and further establish their credentials at the Sinigaglia.

Home team
Away team

Probability %

1X2

Pred

Correct score

Avg. goals

Weather conditions

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Score

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coef.

It1

Calcio Como Venezia 01/11/2026 12:30

671815

12-0

2 - 0

2.38

50°F

-333

-333 +475 +850 no no no

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