Milan Seek to Strengthen Top-Three Standing Against a Resilient Udinese

Milan vs Udinese - 04/11/2026

04/07/2026 1437

Milan welcome Udinese to Stadio Giuseppe Meazza looking to reinforce their position near the summit of Serie A. The hosts have shown both resolve and inconsistencies in recent rounds, while Udinese come in searching for consistency in a challenging campaign. Recent head-to-head outcomes and lineup disruptions add further intrigue to this fixture.

Looking closely at the last three home matches between Milan and Udinese, Milan have emerged victorious on two occasions while dropping one. This edge is relevant, considering both sides’ current ambitions. With only one draw in their last six home encounters against Udinese, these meetings often produce clear outcomes.

Milan's home form offers a blend of promise and unpredictability. In their last three at San Siro, the Rossoneri picked up two wins and suffered just a single defeat, averaging 1.33 goals for and conceding one per match. Their home attacking statistics remain healthy, recording 16.33 total shots and 4.67 on target per game. With an average possession of 55.67%, they consistently dictate tempo, a potential key in unlocking Udinese's defensive block.

Delving into broader recent form, Milan have taken three wins from their last six in all competitions, having failed to record any draws and losing the other three. Notably, they have managed to limit conceded goals to just 0.83 per match during this span, boasting a defensive solidity that continues to be their foundation.

Over their past thirty matches in all competitions, Milan have not been defeated in 83% of contests—a clear testament to their overall reliability across the season. When narrowing the lens to the San Siro, the hosts have gone undefeated in 93% of their last fifteen home outings, picking up five clean sheets in their previous twelve home games.

Turning focus to Udinese, their season has been a mixed journey. Their away record over the past six has seen them pick up three wins, two draws, and two losses, with an average of 1.17 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. Away from home, Udinese’s productivity dips, shown by 9.67 shots and only 3.67 on target per outing. Possession remains an ongoing challenge, with just 42.17% held on average over their last six.

Looking longer-term, Udinese have lost half of their last eight matches in all competitions and have dropped seven of the last twelve away fixtures. During this somewhat inconsistent spell, they have also averaged only three shots on goal per away game, suggesting efficiency will be vital if they are to take something from Milan.

On an individual level, Milan must navigate notable absences. Santiago Gimenez, Rafael Leão, and Ruben Loftus-Cheek are all sidelined—removing attacking impetus and midfield dynamism from Allegri’s selection pool. For Udinese, Adam Buksa, Jordan Zemura, Alessandro Zanoli, and Alessandro Nunziante all miss out, stretching squad depth.

Given both squads’ most common recent selections and accounting for unavailable players, here are the expected XIs and formations:

Milan (3-5-2)

Goalkeeper: Mike Maignan

Defenders: Fikayo Tomori, Koni De Winter, Strahinja Pavlović

Midfielders: Alexis Saelemaekers, Luka Modrić, Youssouf Fofana, Davide Bartesaghi, Christian Pulisic

Attackers: Niclas Füllkrug, Christopher Nkunku

Udinese (3-1-4-2)

Goalkeeper: Maduka Okoye

Defenders: Christian Kabasele, Thomas Kristensen, Oumar Solet

Midfielders: Kingsley Ehizibue, Jesper Karlström, Arthur Atta, Hassane Kamara, Jurgen Ekkelenkamp

Attackers: Nicolò Zaniolo, Keinan Davis

Looking at season-long statistics, Milan’s current league record stands at 18 wins, 9 draws, and 4 losses. They are averaging 1.52 goals per game and allowing only 0.77, underscoring their defensive prowess. Udinese, by contrast, sit in the lower half with 11 wins, 7 draws, and 13 losses, paired with a negative goal difference of minus 7.

Milan’s clarity of purpose and defensive record at home make them favorites to take the three points. Udinese’s struggles against higher-ranked sides and inconsistency, particularly on the road, pose significant hurdles. Prediction: Milan win, with a 43% probability, with a potential final scoreline of 2-1.

Home team
Away team

Probability %

1X2

Pred

Correct score

Avg. goals

Weather conditions

Coef.

Score

Live
coef.

It1

Milan Udinese 11/04/2026 18:00

433125

12-1

2 - 1

2.92

61°F

-250

-250 +350 +750 no no no

FT

0 - 3(0 - 2)

-

- - -