Genoa Seek Home Comforts as Venezia Look to Build Momentum in Serie A Clash

Genoa vs Venezia - 10/25/2026

10/20/2026 863

Genoa return to the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris to host Venezia on October 25, with both sides still trying to turn early-season pressure into momentum near the foot of Serie A.

Key Points

• Genoa have taken four points from seven Serie A matches, with their only league win coming at home to Fiorentina.
• Venezia ended six straight league defeats by beating Napoli 1-0 in Davide Nicola's first match in charge.
• Filip Stankovic and Akor Adams were decisive against Napoli, with the goalkeeper also saving a Kevin De Bruyne penalty.
• The prediction is Genoa to win 2-1, with the home side given a 48% chance of victory.

Recent History

Looking at the previous encounter between these sides, Genoa bested Venezia 2-0 on February 17, 2025. The contest was evenly poised for long periods, each side claiming 50% possession. Genoa's front line proved more clinical, racking up 14 total shots with 5 on target. Venezia were not far behind with 8 efforts and 3 on goal, but late second-half goals, first from Andrea Pinamonti in the 82nd minute and then Maxwel Cornet in the 86th, delivered the telling blows. The home side also edged the dangerous attacks statistic at 42 to 36, providing a narrow but significant advantage in offensive threat.

Head to head, Genoa hold the upper hand in recent clashes, winning 3 of the last 5 matchups across all competitions. This trend, combined with home advantage, could influence both tactical approach and psychological edge.

Recent Form

Shifting to recent form, Genoa have endured a turbulent start under Daniele De Rossi. Their first seven Serie A matches have produced just one win, one draw and five defeats, and a 2-0 loss at Roma quickly cooled the optimism created by the 2-1 home victory over Fiorentina. Milutin Osmajic and Junior Messias struck inside the opening quarter-hour against Fiorentina, a reminder that Genoa can hurt opponents when their transitions are sharp.

Venezia's form had presented an even harsher narrative before last weekend. Six defeats from six league matches led to Giovanni Stroppa's dismissal, but Davide Nicola made an immediate impact with a 1-0 win over Napoli at the Penzo. Akor Adams scored the decisive goal early in the second half, while Stankovic's penalty save from De Bruyne gave Venezia a badly needed platform after a brutal opening run.

Team News and Probable Lineups

Squad news will impact the lineups considerably. Genoa are not expected to have Lorenzo Colombo back for this fixture, while Djibril Sow, Franz-Ethan Meichtry, Alex Amorim and Lorenzo Venturino are being monitored. There are no active suspensions flagged for De Rossi's side.

Genoa probable XI: Justin Bijlow; Alessandro Marcandalli, Leo Ostigard, Johan Vasquez; Kingsley Ehizibue, Tommaso Baldanzi, Morten Frendrup, Hamed Traore, Mikael Egill Ellertsson; Vitinha, Milutin Osmajic.

Most likely formation: 3-5-2, with Baldanzi pushing for a recall after two straight benches and Osmajic expected to continue as the central attacking reference.

For Venezia, Bartol Franjic, Gianluca Busio and Andrea Adorante remain important absences, while Thierry Correia, Marin Sverko and Matias Moreno require checks. Armel Bella-Kotchap has been working back from a thigh problem, but the back three used against Napoli remains the most likely starting point. No Venezia player is currently listed as suspended.

Venezia probable XI: Filip Stankovic; Redouane Halhal, Juan Jesus, Matias Moreno; Antoine Hainaut, Kike Perez, Toma Basic, Simon Sohm, Ridgeciano Haps; John Yeboah, Akor Adams.

Venezia appear set to persist with the 3-5-2 structure that Nicola used on debut, focusing on compact defending, quick outlets to Yeboah and Adams, and midfield protection in front of Juan Jesus.

Main Trends

Looking closer at the trends, Genoa have not been convincing overall, but their best moments have come at the Ferraris, where the win over Fiorentina showed more aggression and cleaner attacking structure. De Rossi's side still need to turn spells of pressure into sustained control, especially against a Venezia team likely to sit deeper than Napoli did after falling behind.

Venezia's away numbers remain a concern. They conceded three at Frosinone and three at Atalanta, and their only league points so far came at home. Nicola's arrival changes the tone, but it does not erase the defensive fragility that has left Venezia bottom after seven matches.

Prediction

The prediction algorithms grant Genoa a 48% chance of victory, the likeliest result a 2-1 home win. Given home advantage, recent head-to-head dominance and Venezia's travel troubles, Genoa's prospects of three points seem tangible, provided they can turn defensive resilience into opportunistic attack. Venezia will have to summon that Napoli-defying performance again to defy the expected.

Home team
Away team

Probability %

1X2

Pred

Correct score

Avg. goals

Weather conditions

Coef.

Score

Live
coef.

It1

Genoa Venezia 25/10/2026 16:00

483220

12-1

2 - 1

2.50

63°F

+105

+105 +250 +250 no no no

FT

1 - 0(1 - 0)

-

- - -