Cagliari Aim for a Statement Win Against Bologna at Sardegna Arena

Cagliari vs Bologna - 10/24/2026

10/20/2026 624

The Sardegna Arena is set for a closely-fought Serie A clash as Cagliari prepare to host Bologna on October 24, 2026. Cagliari need a response after a heavy setback at Monza, while Bologna arrive still adapting under Raffaele Palladino and managing several attacking absences.

Key Points

• Cagliari had gone unbeaten through their first six league matches before Monday's 4-0 defeat at Monza.
• Bologna have changed shape under Raffaele Palladino, with the 3-4-2-1 now their clearest reference point.
• Riccardo Orsolini, Emil Holm and Roberto Piccoli are all expected to miss out for Bologna.
• The Forebet algorithm predicts a Cagliari victory with a 40% probability, most likely by a 1-0 scoreline.

Recent History

Cagliari's meetings with Bologna in Sardinia have provided plenty of talking points over the past five encounters. The hosts have claimed three wins from their last five home clashes against Bologna, losing the remaining two. This record underlines Cagliari's competitive edge at home, where they have consistently found ways to trouble their visitors. Notably, Cagliari have managed four wins in their last six home showdowns with Bologna, a trend that could play a psychological role heading into this fixture.

Recent Form - Overall Performance

Cagliari come into the match on the back of a mixed run. Their last six matches in all competitions have brought three wins, one draw, and two defeats, with an average of one goal scored and 1.33 conceded per match. Despite not always dominating possession, averaging just over 43% in that stretch, Cagliari still create a respectable 10.67 total shots and 4.5 shots on goal per outing. At home, their last three matches show a win, a draw and a loss, averaging 12.67 total shots with 5 on target per game.

Bologna, in contrast, have struggled to maintain consistency lately. Their last six matches have resulted in only one win, two draws and three losses. They’ve scored one goal per match while conceding 1.5, with similar numbers reflected in their total shots and shots on goal. On the road, Bologna's last eight matches have seen them lose four, though they have won three of their last five away games overall in all competitions.

Main Trends

Looking at broader trends, Cagliari have been strong at home in recent memory. They have six clean sheets in their last 15 home matches in all competitions and win 50% of their last 10 matches at Sardegna Arena, with an average of just one goal conceded. Monday's 4-0 loss at Monza was a jolt, ending an unbeaten league start in which Fabio Pisacane's side had not previously conceded more than once in a Serie A match this season.

On the other hand, Bologna have lost half of their previous 18 matches in all competitions and failed to win in seven of their last eight overall. Yet, their away performance offers some hope: winning 60% of their last 15 away ties, they’ve also shown the capability to score more than a goal per game on the road.

Head-to-Head Encounters

Exploring their battles in Serie A, Cagliari have made their home advantage count against Bologna, taking maximum points in the majority of their recent home fixtures. Bologna, while capable of strong away outings in the league, have found Cagliari’s defensive efforts difficult to break down. The loss margin has occasionally been significant: Bologna suffered two defeats by two or more goals in their last five away games to Sardegna Arena.

Team News and Probable Lineups

Cagliari boss Fabio Pisacane is expected to return to a more compact 4-3-2-1 setup after the two-striker experiment away to Monza. Riyad Idrissi, Yael Trepy and Mattia Felici remain the main absentees, while Alessandro Deiola is pushing to return in midfield. Daniel Maldini remains Cagliari's standout attacking threat after scoring four times in the opening six league games, even if the Monza defeat checked the momentum.

Cagliari: Goalkeeper: Elia Caprile; Defenders: Zé Pedro, Yerry Mina, Juan Rodríguez, Adam Obert; Midfielders: Alessandro Deiola, Harry Winks, Alessandro Romano, Michel Adopo, Daniel Maldini; Attackers: Paul Mendy.

Bologna, under Raffaele Palladino, should line up in a 3-4-2-1 formation. The visitors are set to be without Riccardo Orsolini, Emil Holm and Roberto Piccoli, with Piccoli having gone off early against Inter and Orsolini still recovering from a thigh problem. Jay Enem is therefore well placed to lead the line, supported by Federico Bernardeschi and Nicolò Cambiaghi, while Tommaso Pobega should keep his place after scoring and hitting the bar in the 1-3 defeat to Inter.

Bologna: Goalkeeper: Lukasz Skorupski; Defenders: Matteo Darmian, Torbjørn Heggem, Arthur Theate; Midfielders: Nadir Zortea, Lewis Ferguson, Tommaso Pobega, Juan Miranda; Attackers: Federico Bernardeschi, Nicolò Cambiaghi, Jay Enem.

Prediction

Statistically, Cagliari’s home form and Bologna’s patchy run combine to make the Sardinians slight favourites. Cagliari’s defensive resilience and their positive trend in recent home games, coupled with Bologna’s struggles to secure wins on the road, tip the balance toward the hosts. The Forebet algorithm predicts a Cagliari victory with a 40% probability, most likely by a 1-0 scoreline.

Both sides have the ability to produce goals when required, but expect the match to be a tactical contest defined by tight margins and set piece opportunities. Cagliari’s need for a reaction, combined with their head-to-head superiority at home, could make the ultimate difference.

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Away team

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1X2

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It1

Cagliari Bologna 24/10/2026 15:00

403426

11-0

1 - 0

2.10

70°F

+190

+190 +190 +162 no no down

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0 - 2(0 - 0)

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